Sunday, July 19, 2009

Harry Potter 6 Fails to Beat Transformers 2 in States

Despite a huge advertising blitz, Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince failed to catch Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen in first five nor first weekend of release in the US based on early estimates. HP6 weekend is first weekend is looking to be around $79 million bringing its five day total to $159 million. Transformers 2 first weekend was $108.9 million, five day was near record breaking $200.1 million.

Having said that, the numbers are not in for the international gross which is important as the film is likely to do very well overseas. Where TF2's totals are split evenly between US and international sales, the Harry Potter series traditionally does 3 times as well overseas. That proportion resulted in Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix to earn a worldwide gross of $938.2 million, 68.9% of that total from overseas sales. If that pattern holds then the five day international totals could be as high as $230 bringing the worldwide gross to $389.7 million, easily surpassing Transformers 2's $366.2 million.

The net result of all this estimated number crunching (assuming they closely match Monday's actuals) is it is pretty much a lock that Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen will remain the top movie of the year in the States but Harry Potter 6 will be the top movie in worldwide totals and could possibly become only the fifth movie in the world to pass the billion dollar mark (not adjusting for inflation). Just something to keep in mind if planning on any "I told you so" fun with friends.

Box Office Totals (in millions)









DateUSIntlWorldwide
6/19-6/23$0.0$24.1$24.1
6/24-6/28$200.2$166.2$366.4
6/29-7/02$50.9$52.7$103.6
7/03-7/05$42.3$55.0$97.3
7/06-7/09$21.6$35.1$56.7
7/10-7/12$24.2$31.4$55.6
7/13-7/16$10.9$18.6$29.5
7/17-7/19$13.7*
Totals$363.8$383.1$746.8
*estimate of sales

5 comments:

  1. Having seen both (as I am a fan of both) I can honestly say that HP6 will not in the long run beat ROTF for one main reason. HP fans will probably not go to see it multiple times as it yet again doesn't fully follow the book yet again. Which made it disappointing. ROTF is a fun movie to go see over and over.

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  2. Harry Potter has gone down hill for me. I don't even care to see this new movie. I didn't care to see the 5th one even though I did and I kept hearing Transformers all loud in the theater beside us, being jealous I hadn't gone to see it a 3rd time instead.

    I didn't read the 1st or 2nd books but I loved the movies. Then I read the 3rd book and I loved it and the movie was horrible. Worse even compared to the first two and then they just went downhill from there.

    However because RotF was so... ADD I expect people to want to see it twice to catch it all. A long movie that moves too fast, you just end up missing a lot or forgetting certain things by the time it is over.

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  3. whomever runs this blog, maybe you can shoot this idea in their direction? not even sure if it can be done?, but why is he unable to have two different edited versions...a pg and pg-13 movie? the money this movie lost from smaller kids not being taken to see it and the things i still hear from parents wishing that some scenes not been in there. just curious...if only though...the monetary increases would be nice

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  4. hi this realy good film ,i didn't read the 1st or 2nd books but I loved the movies. Then I read the 3rd book and I loved it and the movie was horrible. Worse even compared to the first two and then they just went downhill from there.
    http://www.moremony.com

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  5. HP6 is rubbish the plot is very silly. Here is the things you might not have seen (Please excuse the adult terms)

    Ron has a Boner after eating the love chocolates

    Ginny goes to give Harry a blowjob when she does his shoe

    A guy can be seen rubbing a girls breasts when Draco heads to the vanishing cabinet after he was hospitalised

    Dumbledore is checking out a girl on a billboard

    Harry flirts and tries to have sex with a girl.

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